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GLP Supply prediction
U.S Current Scenario

Primary Market Intelligence: GLP-1 Supply Perception

Stakeholder perception of GLP-1 therapy availability, access reliability, and behavior shifts in a post-shortage stabilization phase.

Objective

To evaluate current stakeholder perception of GLP-1 therapy availability, access reliability, and behavioral shifts in a post-shortage stabilization phase.

Methodology

  • 10 Physicians (Endocrinology + PCP)
  • 5 Pharmacists
  • 10 Patients
  • Timing: Recent (improved supply environment)
  • Geography: U.S.

Survey Findings

Ten current-scenario questions summarizing availability, access, behavior, and outlook.

Post-shortage stabilization lens

Q1. Current availability of GLP-1 therapies

Availability
  • Adequate / consistent52%
  • Mostly adequate with occasional gaps32%
  • Still limited16%

Q2. Difficulty accessing GLP-1 medications in the past 3 months

Access
  • No issues48%
  • Rare / occasional issues36%
  • Frequent issues16%

Q3. Products still facing intermittent constraints

Products
  • Semaglutide (select doses/forms)44% mentions
  • Tirzepatide28% mentions
  • No meaningful constraints40%

Q4. Response when preferred GLP-1 is unavailable

Behavior
  • Wait for restock (no switch)40%
  • Switch within GLP-1 class36%
  • Minimal disruption / no issue24%

Q5. Supply influence on prescribing behavior (Physicians)

Physicians
  • No major impact now50%
  • Still consider supply reliability30%
  • Continue cautious prescribing20%

Q6. Pharmacy stock-out frequency

Pharmacy
  • Rare60%
  • Occasional (monthly)30%
  • Frequent10%

Q7. Patient experience: therapy disruption due to availability

Patients
  • No disruption58%
  • Minor delays28%
  • Required switch / stop14%

Q8. Perception of future supply in the next 6 months

Outlook
  • Will remain stable / improve64%
  • Some uncertainty24%
  • May worsen12%

Q9. Factors shaping current supply dynamics

Dynamics
  • Expanded manufacturing capacity68%
  • Better supply chain coordination40%
  • Demand still high but manageable44%

Q10. Current access barriers

Barriers
  • Insurance / prior authorization52%
  • Cost / affordability44%
  • Supply issues20%

Key Takeaways

Supply is largely normalized, with only minor, localized gaps.
Shortage-driven behavior such as switching and delays has declined significantly.
Prescribing is re-centering on clinical preference rather than availability.
Pharmacy-level disruptions are now infrequent.
The primary barrier has shifted to payer dynamics such as coverage and cost.
The outlook is stable to improving, supported by manufacturer scale-up.

Strategic Implications

Focus shifts from capacity crisis management to demand optimization, with opportunity to expand the patient base, especially in obesity.

Providers can resume guideline-driven prescribing with less need for contingency planning.

Payers are becoming the primary access gatekeepers and are likely to tighten utilization management.

Bottom Line

The GLP-1 market has moved out of broad shortage mode and into a more stable environment where affordability, coverage, and dose-level variability now matter more than system-wide supply disruption.

64%
Expect stable or improving supply
52%
Cite insurance or prior auth as a barrier
Thought Leadership

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